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1.
Curr Opin Ophthalmol ; 31(6): 538-548, 2020 Nov.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2323358

ABSTRACT

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: This review provides a historic perspective of the impact that major pandemics have had on human and their relationship with ophthalmology. The novel coronavirus epidemic is also analyzed, highlighting the relevance of the eye as a possible source of transmission, infection, and prognosis for the disease. RESULTS: Smallpox is suspected to be present for more than 12 000 years. However, trachoma seems to be the first recorded ophthalmological infectious disease. The deadliest pandemics include the bubonic plague, smallpox, and Spanish flu. The CoVID-19 epidemic is still developing and measures need to be implemented to prevent further escalation of the crisis. SUMMARY: Understanding the current facts in light of earlier historical evidence may help us prepare better to minimize the spread of infections in the future.


Subject(s)
Eye Diseases/epidemiology , Pandemics , Animals , Betacoronavirus , COVID-19 , Coronavirus Infections , Humans , Influenza Pandemic, 1918-1919 , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Influenza, Human/prevention & control , Influenza, Human/transmission , Pneumonia, Viral , SARS-CoV-2
3.
Circ Res ; 132(10): 1259-1271, 2023 05 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2313177

ABSTRACT

The onset and widespread dissemination of the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 in late 2019 impacted the world in a way not seen since the 1918 H1N1 pandemic, colloquially known as the Spanish Flu. Much like the Spanish Flu, which was observed to disproportionately impact young adults, it became clear in the early days of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic that certain groups appeared to be at higher risk for severe illness once infected. One such group that immediately came to the forefront and garnered international attention was patients with preexisting cardiovascular disease. Here, we examine the available literature describing the interaction of COVID-19 with a myriad of cardiovascular conditions and diseases, paying particular attention to patients diagnosed with arrythmias, heart failure, and coronary artery disease. We further discuss the association of acute COVID-19 with de novo cardiovascular disease, including myocardial infarction due to coronary thrombosis, myocarditis, and new onset arrhythmias. We will evaluate various biochemical theories to explain these findings, including possible mechanisms of direct myocardial injury caused by the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 virus at the cellular level. Finally, we will discuss the strategies employed by numerous groups and governing bodies within the cardiovascular disease community to address the unprecedented challenges posed to the care of our most vulnerable patients, including heart transplant recipients, end-stage heart failure patients, and patients suffering from acute coronary syndromes, during the early days and height of the COVID-19 pandemic.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Cardiovascular Diseases , Heart Failure , Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype , Influenza Pandemic, 1918-1919 , History, 20th Century , Humans , COVID-19/complications , Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology , Cardiovascular Diseases/diagnosis , Pandemics , SARS-CoV-2 , Arrhythmias, Cardiac/complications , Heart Failure/epidemiology , Heart Failure/complications , Myocardium
6.
J Clin Psychiatry ; 84(3)2023 04 17.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2303105

ABSTRACT

Objective: The aim of this study was to examine suicide rates in Spain during the COVID-19 pandemic and the influenza pandemic of 1918-1920.Methods: Data on deaths by cause for the periods 1910-1925 and 2016-2020 were obtained from the National Statistics Institute of Spain.Results: During the Spanish influenza pandemic, a peak of deaths in 1918 due to influenza, acute bronchitis, pneumonia, and other respiratory diseases coincided with an increase in suicides (from 5.9 in 1917 to 6.6 per 100,000 population in 1918). The pattern was repeated in the COVID-19 pandemic during 2020, with an increase in suicides from 7.8 in 2019 to 8.3 per 100,000 population in 2020. In both cases, the male:female suicide ratio was reduced in similar proportion, with a higher net increase in the number of suicides among males but a higher percentage increase among females.Conclusions: Albeit limited, there is evidence that the pandemics may have affected suicide rates. However, the effect was most likely due to precipitation of different diathesis-stressor factors in each setting, given the different historical contexts.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Influenza Pandemic, 1918-1919 , Influenza, Human , Suicide , Humans , Male , Female , History, 20th Century , Spain/epidemiology , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Pandemics , COVID-19/epidemiology
7.
Politics Life Sci ; 41(2): 289-297, 2023 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2254214

ABSTRACT

Scholars and journalists connect pandemics to a rise in support for radical political movements. In this study, we draw on this insight to investigate the relationship between the 1918-1919 Spanish influenza pandemic and political extremism-here, the rise of the second Ku Klux Klan-in the United States. Specifically, we ask whether U.S. states and cities with higher death rates from the Spanish flu also had stronger Ku Klux Klan organizations in the early 1920s. Our results do not provide evidence of such a connection; in fact, the data suggest greater Klan membership where the pandemic was less severe. This provides initial evidence that pandemic severity, as measured by mortality, is not necessarily a cause of extremism in the United States; power devaluation as a result of social and cultural change, however, does appear to spur such mobilization.


Subject(s)
Cultural Evolution , Influenza Pandemic, 1918-1919 , Influenza, Human , History, 20th Century , Humans , Influenza, Human/epidemiology , Pandemics , Cities
8.
Curr Rheumatol Rev ; 18(3): 234-242, 2022.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2248615

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID 19) is a worldwide pandemic that has devastated the world in a way that has not been witnessed since the Spanish Flu in 1918. In this study, we aim to investigate the outcomes of patients with rheumatic diseases infected with COVID-19 in Oman. METHODS: A multi-center retrospective cohort study included patients with underlying rheumatological conditions and COVID-19 infection. Data were collected through the electronic record system and by interviewing the patients through a standard questionnaire. RESULTS: 113 patients with different rheumatic diseases were included with the following rheumatological diagnoses: rheumatoid arthritis (40.7%), systemic lupus erythematosus (23.1%), psoriatic arthritis (8%), Behcet's disease (7%), ankylosing spondylitis (6.2%), other vasculitides, including Kawasaki disease (4.4%), and other diagnoses (10.6%). The mean (SD) age of patients was 43 (14) years, and 82.3% were female. The diagnosis of COVID-19 was confirmed by PCR test in 84.1% of the patients. The most common symptoms at the time of presentation were fever (86%), cough (81%), headache (65%), and myalgia (60%). Hospitalization due to COVID-19 infection was reported in 24.1% of the patients, and 52.2% of these patients had received some form of treatment. In this cohort, the intake of immunosuppressive and immunomodulating medications was reported in 91.1% of the patients. During the COVID-19 infection, 68% of the patients continued taking their medications. Comorbidities were present in 39.8% of the patients. Pregnancy was reported in 2% of the patients. The 30 days mortality rate was found to be 3.5%. Diabetes, obesity, and interstitial lung diseases (ILD) were the strongest risk factor for mortality (p-value 0.000, 0.000, and 0.001, respectively). Rituximab was given in 3.8% of the patients, and it was significantly associated with increased mortality among the patients (p-value <0.001). CONCLUSION: COVID-19 infection in patients with rheumatic diseases have an increased mortality rate in comparison to the general population, with diabetes, morbid obesity, chronic kidney diseases, interstitial lung disease, cardiovascular disease, obstructive lung disease, and liver diseases as comorbidities being the most severe risk factors associated with death. Greater care should be provided to this population, including the prompt need for vaccination.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Diabetes Mellitus , Influenza Pandemic, 1918-1919 , Rheumatic Diseases , Adult , Female , Humans , Male , Retrospective Studies , SARS-CoV-2
9.
J Healthc Eng ; 2022: 4079685, 2022.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2279240

ABSTRACT

The COVID-19 pandemic has plunged the world into a health and economic crisis never seen before since the Spanish flu pandemic in 1918. The closure of schools and universities, the banning of rallies, and other social distancing in countries have been done to disrupt the transmission of the virus. Governments have planned to reduce restrictions on corona management by implementing vaccination programs. This research aims to better understand the Coronavirus disease's behavior, identify the prevalent factors, and adopt effective policies to control the pandemic. This study examines the different scenarios of releasing the constraints and returning to normal conditions before Corona to analyze the results of different scenarios to prevent the occurrence of subsequent peaks. The system dynamics approach is an effective means of studying COVID-19's behavioral characteristics. The factors that affect Coronavirus disease outbreak and control by expanding the basic SEIR model, interventions, and policies, such as vaccination, were investigated in this research. Based on the obtained results, the most critical factor in reducing the prevalence of the disease is reducing the behavioral risks of people and increasing the vaccination process. Observance of hygienic principles leads to disruption of the transmission chain, and vaccination increases the immunity of individuals against the acute type of infection. In addition, the closure of businesses and educational centers, along with government support for incomes, effectively controls and reduces the pandemic, which requires cooperation between the people and the government. In a situation where a new type of corona has spread, if the implementation of the policy of reducing restrictions and reopening schools and universities is done without planning, it will cause a lot of people to suffer.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Influenza Pandemic, 1918-1919 , History, 20th Century , Humans , Pandemics/prevention & control , Physical Distancing , Vaccination
10.
Int J Immunopathol Pharmacol ; 37: 3946320231154997, 2023.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2229476

ABSTRACT

Encephalitis lethargica developed in epidemic from 1919 to 1926 in Europe and throughout the world. From the clinical point of view, the disturbances of consciousness and alertness and the possible outcomes of a postencephalitic Parkinsonism has attracted much attention. For a long time, it was thought that such a disease may still occur sporadically. In this review, the authors examined historical and current pictures of epidemics that may be related to Encephalitis lethargica. The previous Nona and Russian Influenza exhibited frequent neurological symptoms. The Spanish flu, formerly related to Encephalitis lethargica, would appear an epidemic that had its development in a partially overlapping period. The current pandemic linked to COVID-19 sometimes has aspects that can resemble Encephalitis lethargica. Based on historical analysis and the more recent immunological data, it could be suggested that Encephalitis lethargica was an autoimmune encephalitis that arose in a secondary form to the action of a viral agent. It cannot be ruled out that this agent was a coronavirus. From the nosological point of view, the term Encephalitis lethargica should be abolished in designating autoimmune encephalitis pictures that run sporadically.


Subject(s)
Autoimmune Diseases of the Nervous System , COVID-19 , Influenza Pandemic, 1918-1919 , Influenza, Human , Parkinson Disease, Postencephalitic , History, 20th Century , Humans , Parkinson Disease, Postencephalitic/complications , Parkinson Disease, Postencephalitic/epidemiology , COVID-19/complications , Autoimmune Diseases of the Nervous System/complications
11.
Int J Mol Sci ; 24(3)2023 Jan 30.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2225328

ABSTRACT

In the present paper, we have analysed the role of age and sex in the fatal outcome of COVID-19, as there are conflicting results in the literature. As such, we have answered three controversial questions regarding this aspect of the COVID-19 pandemic: (1) Have women been more resilient than men? (2) Did centenarians die less than the remaining older people? (3) Were older centenarians more resistant to SARS-CoV-2 than younger centenarians? The literature review demonstrated that: (1) it is women who are more resilient, in agreement with data showing that women live longer than men even during severe famines and epidemics; however, there are conflicting data regarding centenarian men; (2) centenarians overall did not die less than remaining older people, likely linked to their frailty; (3) in the first pandemic wave of 2020, centenarians > 101 years old (i.e., born before 1919), but not "younger centenarians", have been more resilient to COVID-19 and this may be related to the 1918 Spanish flu epidemic, although it is unclear what the mechanisms might be involved.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Influenza Pandemic, 1918-1919 , History, 20th Century , Male , Aged, 80 and over , Humans , Female , Aged , Centenarians , COVID-19/epidemiology , Pandemics , SARS-CoV-2 , Longevity
12.
Dtsch Med Wochenschr ; 147(24-25): 1617-1625, 2022 Dec.
Article in German | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2212100

ABSTRACT

Contagious diseases and other conditions from the field of internal medicine have always kept the world on its edge. The SARS-CoV-2 pandemic has recently reminded us of this with all its terror. If one looks for a historical equivalent, the Spanish flu impresses with as many similarities as differences. However, many of these aspects are difficult to measure by statistics. How were the waves of infections perceived socially almost 100 years ago? What significance did they have in the lives of the ordinary people? And in what light was medical world showcased? An insightful way to get to the bottom of these questions can be through the historical analysis of the mass medium of film.This paper will therefore systematically analyze the decades surrounding the Spanish Flu, known in film history as the silent era. This venture not only fills a gap in film and medical history research, where the portrayal of the main antagonist of epidemics - the internist - has been missing. Furthermore, such a study helps to put the present events in an adequate context. As a result, it becomes clear how little contemporary developments should be seen as an anomaly; how cinema, as an anticipatory medium with a warning function, reflects medical reality; how poorly the film industry used the therapeutic possibilities of cinematic art in times of pandemics. Finally, however, it becomes particularly apparent what a significant role internal diseases or internists played in the history of cinema from the very beginning.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Influenza Pandemic, 1918-1919 , History, 20th Century , Humans , SARS-CoV-2 , Retrospective Studies , Motion Pictures , Pandemics
13.
Front Public Health ; 10: 1015501, 2022.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2142346

ABSTRACT

Objective: To quantify the (direct and indirect) impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on mortality for actual populations of persons living in 12 European countries in 2020. Method: Based on demographic and mortality data, as well as remaining life expectancies found in the Human Mortality Database, we calculated a "population life loss" in 2020 for men and women living in Belgium, Croatia, Denmark, Finland, Hungary, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Norway, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, and Switzerland. This quantity was obtained by dividing the total number of years lost in 2020 (estimated from all-cause mortality data and attributed directly or indirectly to COVID-19) by the size of the population. Results: A significant population life loss was found in 8 countries in 2020, with men losing an average of 8.7, 5.0, 4.4, 4.0, 3.7, 3.4, 3.1, and 2.7 days in Lithuania, Spain, Belgium, Hungary, Croatia, Portugal, Switzerland, and Sweden, respectively. For women, this loss was 5.5, 4.3, 3.7, 3.7, 3.1, 2.4, 1.6, and 1.4 days, respectively. No significant losses were found in Finland, Luxembourg, Denmark and Norway. Life loss was highly dependent on age, reaching 40 days at the age of 90 in some countries, while only a few significant losses occurred under the age of 60. Even in countries with a significant population life loss in 2020, it was on average about 30 times lower than in 1918, at the time of the Spanish flu. Conclusions: Our results based on the concept of population life loss were consistent with those based on the classical concept of life expectancy, confirming the significant impact of COVID-19 on mortality in 8 European countries in 2020. However, while life expectancy losses were typically counted in months or years, population life losses could be counted in days, a potentially useful piece of information from a public health perspective.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Influenza Pandemic, 1918-1919 , History, 20th Century , Male , Humans , Female , Infant , COVID-19/epidemiology , Pandemics , Life Expectancy , Europe/epidemiology
14.
Virol J ; 19(1): 167, 2022 10 24.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2089214

ABSTRACT

The rise of the highly lethal severe acute respiratory syndrome-2 (SARS-2) as corona virus 2019 (COVID-19) reminded us of the history of other pandemics that happened in the last century (Spanish flu) and stayed in the current century, which include Severe-Acute-Respiratory-Syndrome (SARS), Middle-East-Respiratory-Syndrome (MERS), Corona Virus 2019 (COVID-19). We review in this report the newest findings and data on the origin of pandemic respiratory viral diseases, reservoirs, and transmission modes. We analyzed viral adaption needed for host switch and determinants of pathogenicity, causative factors of pandemic viruses, and symptoms and clinical manifestations. After that, we concluded the host factors associated with pandemics morbidity and mortality (immune responses and immunopathology, ages, and effect of pandemics on pregnancy). Additionally, we focused on the burdens of COVID-19, non-pharmaceutical interventions (quarantine, mass gatherings, facemasks, and hygiene), and medical interventions (antiviral therapies and vaccines). Finally, we investigated the nanotechnology between COVID-19 analysis and immune system boosting (Nanoparticles (NPs), antimicrobial NPs as antivirals and immune cytokines). This review presents insights about using nanomaterials to treat COVID-19, improve the bioavailability of the abused drugs, diminish their toxicity, and improve their performance.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Influenza Pandemic, 1918-1919 , Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus , History, 20th Century , Humans , Pandemics , COVID-19/diagnosis , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19 Testing , Antiviral Agents/therapeutic use , Nanotechnology , Immune System , Cytokines
15.
Econ Hum Biol ; 47: 101179, 2022 Dec.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2031257

ABSTRACT

A century after the Spanish Flu, the COVID-19 pandemic has brought renewed attention to socioeconomic and occupational differences in mortality in the earlier pandemic. The magnitude of these differences and the pathways between occupation and increased mortality remain unclear, however. In this paper, we explore the relation between occupational characteristics and excess mortality among men during the Spanish Flu pandemic in the Netherlands. By creating a new occupational coding for exposure to disease at work, we separate social status and occupational conditions for viral transmission. We use a new data set based on men's death certificates to calculate excess mortality rates by region, age group, and occupational group. Using OLS regression models, we estimate whether social position, regular interaction in the workplace, and working in an enclosed space affected excess mortality among men in the Netherlands in the autumn of 1918. We find some evidence that men with occupations that featured high levels of social contact had higher mortality in this period. Above all, however, we find a strong socioeconomic gradient to excess mortality among men during the Spanish Flu pandemic, even after accounting for exposure in the workplace.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Influenza Pandemic, 1918-1919 , History, 20th Century , Male , Humans , Netherlands/epidemiology , Pandemics , Hispanic or Latino
16.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int ; 29(47): 70822-70831, 2022 Oct.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2007226

ABSTRACT

COVID-19 pandemic influenced the environment, animal health, and food security. Due to reduced human mobility, the air and water quality increased. Other environmental consequences were the personal protective types of equipment and their haphazard disposal. Atmospheric pollution could be a cofactor leading to an increased COVID-19 mortality rate. Lockdown, however, caused a reduction in air and water pollution. Noise pollution affects the health of individuals and communities in terms of cardiovascular disorders and sleeping problems. Meanwhile, the COVID-19 lockdown controls human activities that reduce noise pollution. Municipal waste affects the environment. Recycling has been reduced in some countries but not in Saudi Arabia. COVID-19 had a drastic effect on livestock production on national, regional, and global levels, affecting countries' capacities to prevent and control diseases of animals and increasing global poverty, becoming a threat to the sustainability of global food security and safety. Many lessons have been learned from the COVID-19 pandemic, so it is wise to study and analyze the previous lessons and shed some light on past pandemics such as the Spanish flu to understand the readings and earn experiences. This paper is focused on the interaction between the pandemic and environmental health from the public health concern rather than other health classifications.


Subject(s)
Air Pollution , COVID-19 , Influenza Pandemic, 1918-1919 , Air Pollution/analysis , Animals , Communicable Disease Control , Food Security , History, 20th Century , Humans , Pandemics , SARS-CoV-2
17.
J Neural Transm (Vienna) ; 129(9): 1119-1132, 2022 09.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2007153

ABSTRACT

Parkinsonism secondary to viral infections is not an uncommon occurrence and has been brought under the spotlight with the spread of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection. A variety of viruses have been described with a potential of inducing or contributing to the occurrence of parkinsonism and Parkinson's disease (PD), although the relationship between the two remains a matter of debate originating with the description of encephalitis lethargica in the aftermath of the Spanish flu in 1918. While some viral infections have been linked to an increased risk for the development of PD, others seem to have a causal link with the occurrence of parkinsonism. Here, we review the currently available evidence on viral-induced parkinsonism with a focus on potential pathophysiological mechanisms and clinical features. We also review the evidence on viral infections as a risk factor for developing PD and the link between SARS-CoV-2 and parkinsonism, which might have important implications for future research and treatments.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Influenza Pandemic, 1918-1919 , Parkinson Disease , Parkinsonian Disorders , Virus Diseases , Viruses , COVID-19/complications , Humans , Parkinson Disease/epidemiology , Parkinsonian Disorders/etiology , SARS-CoV-2
18.
Am J Med Sci ; 363(4): 288-294, 2022 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1990870

ABSTRACT

The incidence and severity of COVID-19 infections have been disproportionately high in Native American populations. Native Americans are a high-risk group for COVID-19 because of a variety of healthcare disparities. Historically, these populations suffered excessively during previous epidemics in the United States (US). Several epidemics occurred when disease-naïve indigenous peoples were exposed to European settlers with herd immunity. Native American populations had four times higher mortality in the 1918 Spanish flu epidemic. Deaths from H1N1 infections were higher in Native Americans and most cases and deaths from the Hantavirus pulmonary syndrome (HPS) occurred in Native Americans. Other infectious diseases, including HIV, hepatitis A and hepatitis C are more also common. Diabetes, alcoholism and cardiovascular diseases, all risk factors for severity and mortality in COVID-19 infection, are also more common in this group. Addressing the root causes of enhanced risk in Native American populations will improve outcomes from COVID-19 and future pandemics.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Communicable Diseases , Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype , Influenza Pandemic, 1918-1919 , COVID-19/epidemiology , Communicable Diseases/epidemiology , Healthcare Disparities , Humans , Pandemics , SARS-CoV-2 , United States/epidemiology , American Indian or Alaska Native
19.
Int Immunopharmacol ; 111: 109175, 2022 Oct.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1983255

ABSTRACT

The severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)-caused Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) is currently a global pandemic that has wreaked havoc on public health, lives, and the global economy. The present COVID-19 outbreak has put pressure on the scientific community to develop medications and vaccinations to combat COVID-19. However, according to highly optimistic forecasts, we could not have a COVID-19 vaccine until September 2020. This is due to the fact that a successful COVID-19 vaccine will necessitate a careful validation of effectiveness and adverse reactivity given that the target vaccine population includes high-risk people over 60, particularly those with severe co-morbid conditions, frontline healthcare professionals, and those involved in essential industrial sectors. For passive immunization, which is being considered for Covid-19, there are several platforms for vaccine development, each with its own advantages and disadvantages. The COVID-19 pandemic, which is arguably the deadliest in the last 100 years after the Spanish flu, necessitates a swift assessment of the various approaches for their ability to incite protective immunity and safety to prevent unintended immune potentiation, which is crucial to the pathogenesis of this virus. Considering the pandemic's high fatality rate and rapid spread, an efficient vaccination is critical for its management. As a result, academia, industry, and government are collaborating in unprecedented ways to create and test a wide range of vaccinations. In this review, we summarize the Covid-19 vaccine development initiatives, recent trends, difficulties, comparison between traditional vaccines development and Covid-19 vaccines development also listed the approved/authorized, phase-3 and pre-clinical trials Covid-19 vaccines in different countries.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Influenza Pandemic, 1918-1919 , COVID-19/prevention & control , COVID-19 Vaccines , History, 20th Century , Humans , Pandemics/prevention & control , SARS-CoV-2 , Vaccine Development
20.
Int J Environ Res Public Health ; 19(15)2022 07 29.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1969235

ABSTRACT

The present coronavirus crisis caused a major worldwide disruption which has not been experienced for decades. The lockdown-based crisis management was implemented by nearly all the countries, and studies confirming lockdown effectiveness can be found alongside the studies questioning it. In this work, we performed a narrative review of the works studying the above effectiveness, as well as the historic experience of previous pandemics and risk-benefit analysis based on the connection of health and wealth. Our aim was to learn lessons and analyze ways to improve the management of similar events in the future. The comparative analysis of different countries showed that the assumption of lockdowns' effectiveness cannot be supported by evidence-neither regarding the present COVID-19 pandemic, nor regarding the 1918-1920 Spanish Flu and other less-severe pandemics in the past. The price tag of lockdowns in terms of public health is high: by using the known connection between health and wealth, we estimate that lockdowns may claim 20 times more life years than they save. It is suggested therefore that a thorough cost-benefit analysis should be performed before imposing any lockdown for either COVID-19 or any future pandemic.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Influenza Pandemic, 1918-1919 , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/prevention & control , Communicable Disease Control , History, 20th Century , Humans , Pandemics/prevention & control , Public Health
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